Demba Ba

If you missed the 40/1 I suggested recently you can still get 33/1 Demba Ba for top Premiership goalscorer with the (non) fearless layer VCbet, should you still have an account open and operational with them. The Newcastle player tops the scoring chart tonight on six goals and is as short as 12/1 with Ladbrokes, Skybet and Bet365.

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Saturday horses 7

I have a feeling it's not going to be my day today! Two close seconds with Defence Council and Long Awaited. Then Chil The Kite finishes 6th and PP pay on first five!

One last punt today:

17:45C 2pts win Beckermet @ 13/2 William Hill BOG

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Saturday horses 6

Newmarket:

15:40N 3pts win 1.5pts place Chil The Kite @ 9/1 Paddy Power (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5) BOG

4.5 points staked

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Saturday horses 5

Further bet at Haydock:

14:35H 1pt ew Diman Waters @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

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Saturday horses 4

Changed my mind with regard to 17:45, am having a bet now!:

17:45C 1.5pts win 1pt place Parisian Pyramid @ 10/1 Betfred BOG

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Saturday horses 3

First bet at Chester:

14:50C 3pts win Chasing Dreams @ 7/2 Bet365 BOG

I may have a bet in the 17:45 but if I do it will be after the above race.

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Saturday horses 2

Another wager at Haydock:

15:15H 3pts win Long Awaited @ 7/1 Paddy Power BOG

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Chester Saturday

Bets likely in 14:50 and 17:45 tomorrow...

Saturday horses

One early bet for Haydock tomorrow:

14:35H 2pts win 1pt place Defence Council @ 11/1 Paddy Power BOG

Will probably be an additional bet in this race in the morning.

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Friday horses

At Haydock today:

16:10H 2.5pts win Megaleka @ 7/1 Skybet

16:45H 2pts win Extraterrestrial @ 4/1 William Hill BOG

16:45H 0.5pts ew Loyalty @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

Total 5.5 points staked

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Performance update

Poor tennis selection yesterday and my horse selections finish last and second last. It happens.

Thought it worth having a look at how the blog stands with regard to overall profitability. 

For 2012 to date we have just struggled back into positive territory:-

Stakes 1,798; Profit 26; % Profit 1.4% - not very inspiring but on the right side!

All blogged bets (from December 2009):-

Stakes 3,329; Profit 733; % Profit 22.0%

Finally 2012 horse racing flat season selections only:-

Stakes 1,052; Profit 222; % Profit 21.1%

Probably get back to the bread and butter stuff tomorrow with a wager or two at Haydock.

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Thursday horses

At Pontefract:

14:55P 2pts win Royal Steps @ 4/1 Paddy Power BOG

14:55P 1pt win Glen Ginnie @ Betfair SP

0.5pt Reverse forecast above two

Four points staked

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Pan Pacific Open

I know I should stick to the horses, however I fancied a small bet on the Japanese tournament having watched Woza beat Li Na today. The Dane recovered well from a set and a break down to close the match out with confidence. Having had a poor year Woza is at last showing a bit of form, having won the Korea gig last week. 

Tomorrow she plays fellow pusher Aggie for a place in the semis. The Pole is marginal favourite but I think on current form Woza will be hard to beat. In the other quarter (in the top half of the draw) Kerber plays Vika who, allegedly, was ill on court today. It didn't stop the world number one beating Vinci in straight sets though. If Vika gets through tomorrow's match then Woza would be in a position to take advantage of any medical issues should she too progress to the semis. In any event 12/1 each-way looks worth a small play:

1.5pts ew Caroline Wozniacki to win Pan Pacific Open @ 12/1 Coral (1/3 odds 1,2)

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Wednesday review

I didn't hold out much hope for Triple Dream as it was a massive drifter. After taking 12/1 BOG it drifted to 28/1 or so on betfair and started at 16/1. In the end it was beaten less than a length. Unfortunately that was not good enough to finish in the frame, ending up in fourth place.

I can't grumble given the recent run though. Another quiet day tomorrow with possibly one selection at Pontefract.

Wednesday horses

One race today at Goodwood:

17:25G 1.5pts ew Triple Dream @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

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Tuesday review

Back in the winners' enclosure with success at Beverley and Folkestone. What a shame Folkestone is closing - we've been cleaning up here this summer!

The winners were both subject to 20p R4 deductions so Danzoe pays out @ 8/1 as mentioned earlier whereas I Confess, backed at 12/1, pays out at a respectable 9.6/1 (SP15/2). Total profit on the day was 33.12 points to eclipse yesterday's disappointment of a 11.9 point loss.

After today's excitement it's likely to be a low key day tomorrow with just one race under consideration at Goodwood.

Happy days!

Tuesday horses 2

Danzoe scoots in at 13/2. We took 10/1 but with a 20p R4 which means an 8/1 payout.

Further selections today:

14:40F 1pt win Michael's Song @ 13/2 Ladbrokes BOG

15:30F 1pt win Master Mylo @ 13/2 William Hill BOG

16:10B 1pt ew Swift Encounter @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

(Fairlie Dinkum NR 16:10B)

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Tuesday horses

10am inspection at Folkestone. Meanwhile:

16:10B 2pts win 1pt place I Confess @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

14:00F 2pts win Danzoe @ 10/1 Coral

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Monday review

Disappointing day with three seconds and a third including two "neck" defeats. 

Folkestone may produce betting opportunities if it goes ahead tomorrow which it may not. One race at Beverley is of interest. I've had a small bet on an outsider which may not turn out to be the main selection in the race. It finished last in its latest three races and for the last two outings it has been trained by A Crook.

Obviously will need to improve on recent form to make the frame!:

16:10B 1pt ew Fairlie Dinkum @ 40/1 William Hill BOG

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Monday horses 3

Further bets at Hamilton but no great value with the prices as the markets have settled:

16:10H 3pts win Ambitious Icarus @ Betfair SP (approx 13/2)

16:40H 2pts ew Cheyenne Red @ 10/1 Betfred BOG

17:10H 3pts win Sandwith @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

Total ten points.

The earlier Hamilton bet on Captain Scooby with WH @ 10/1 pays out at 14/1 (place) SP because it was BOG.

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Monday horses 2

 Non-runner at Leicester so have had:

17:00L 1pt ew Indian Art @ 16/1 Skybet

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Monday horses

Further inspection at Hamilton at 11:45. In any event I'm going to use the same strategy as yesterday and consider further Hamilton bets once we've seen how Captain Scooby gets on in the 14:10. If you missed 10/1 with WH that price is available with skybet as I write. 

At Leicester the going has changed from GF to G after overnight rain. I have missed the gamble on R Woody which is annoying: looks like a plot with no recent form and Buick up. So small BOG bet with PP as it might drift at the start:

16:00L 2pts win R Woody @ 6/1 Paddy Power BOG

Also:

17:00L 1.5pts win Catchanova @ 15/2 Skybet

17:00L 1.5pts win Broxbourne @ 10/1 Skybet (also SJ if you can get on)

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Sunday review

A quite remarkable day on the horses. Three selections, two winners: @ 16/1 (SP 7/1) and @ 10/1 (SP 11/2). Profit on the day was 69.5 points to take the flat season selections to over 200 points profit with a yield of 20%.

I am happy to admit it's been a very poor year for sports betting. Terrible results at Euro 2012 and the Olympics with only average tennis returns. Even the jockeys' championship went pear-shaped! My mid-season strategy was to try and pull things around by making a good profit on the horses. 2012 has now moved (perhaps temporarily) into marginal profit overall. Given the poor sports betting results I'd be happy with anything near break even for the calendar year. After all we were 700 points in front coming into January 2012.

Let's see what the rest of the flat season brings us - starting with:

14:10H 2pts ew Captain Scooby @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

Hamilton may not even go ahead with the heavy rain forecast but if it does last year's winner who is a soft ground performer should have a good chance.

More selections from Hamilton tomorrow if it's on and probably something at Leicester too.

Sunday horses 3

Really good chop at Hamilton 16/1 winner - returned 7/1 - no R4s either!

Last horse for today:

16:20H 2pts ew Coolminx @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG

Sunday horses 2

15:50H 2.5pts ew Heroic Endeavour @ 16/1 Coral

Sunday horses

At Hamilton today:

14:20H 2.5pts win Megamunch @ 5/1 Skybet

I may have further bets at Hamilton after the above race has taken place.

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Saturday horses

On the evidence of the first race I have decided to have the following wager:

14:20A 1pt ew Kaldoun Kingdom @ 10/1 William Hill BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

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Laura Robson 4

Laura Robson has continued  her improved form in China. She has beaten the Chinese numbers two and three having beaten the Chinese number one Li Na at the US Open. Indeed she has beaten three players ranked above her in reaching the final of the Guangzhou tournament: Zheng Jie (22), Cirstea (30) and Peng Shuai (47). Laura is currently ranked 74.

She is the first British female since Jo Durie to reach the final of a WTA event. She is very likely to win it too.

I know we already have the miracle bet @ 200/1 for her to win Wimbledon 2013 however I feel that she is improving so fast that a small interest for the Australian Open at the current odds with William Hill will not break the bank:

0.75pts ew Laura Robson to win Australian Open 2013 @ 125/1 William Hill 

Friday horses

This blog is called value betting. We certainly had that yesterday with 16/1 about a 15/2 chance. No such value today and only one race of interest. The selection has been backed overnight so very little value left for us. Nevertheless the wager is as follows:

15:50L 3pts win Welease Bwain @ 7/2 Ladbrokes BOG

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Thursday review

Shadowtime does the business trotting up at 16/1 (SP an incredible 15/2). Eighteen points profit on the day and now five days of consecutive horse racing profits. In this period we have accrued over 48 points profit and that does not include the AOB 50+ point return.

There will probably be a bet in one race at Lingfield tomorrow...

Thursday horses 2

Wasn't going to play another race at Ponte but have changed my mind:

15:30P 1pt ew Shadowtime @ 16/1 Coral

Thursday horses

Small winning days the last two days to extend our sequence to four consecutive winning days of horse betting. Have not got great confidence of extending that to five, nevertheless one small bet:

18:00P 1pt ew Layla's King @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

Just to confirm the prices of the last two winners. Centrifugal paid 3.6-1 after 10p R4 (SP 2/1) and Rocket Rob paid 3.825-1 after 15p R4 (SP 5/2)

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Wednesday horses 2

At Beverley:

15:40B 1.5pts ew Mandalay King @ 12/1 Betfred BOG

16:20B 2pts win Ingleby Star @ 4/1 William Hill BOG

Five points staked

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Wednesday horses

At Sandown:

14:20S 2.5pts win Rocket Rob @ 9/2 Skybet

14:20S 0.75pt reverse forecast above with Rebecca Romero

Four points staked

Beverley bets to follow.

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Ba back in it?

Didn't think I'd be having having a football bet this season however last night's match has changed that. Demba Ba scored twice for Newcastle only coming onto the field in the second-half. 

Last year, in the first-half of the season, Ba was a revelation scoring 15 Premiership goals before the January window to lie second in the TGS table. Then it all fell apart. He departed for the African Cup and during that time Newcastle signed his Senegal team-mate Cisse who was promptly given the iconic number nine shirt. He was to do the shirt justice scoring a notable 13 Premiership goals for Newcastle in what remained of the season. 

Having missed three Premiership matches because of the African Cup Ba was to score just once more - on 5 February - to end the season on 16 goals in seventh place. This was despite playing in most of the remaining fixtures. He finished just one goal away from joint fourth place and two away from outright fourth which was frustrating for ew TGS backers including me!

The question now is whether Pardew will restore Ba to the starting line-up. There must be a good chance of that given his tally of three Premiership goals and the excellent performance he put in last night. Therefore I have had:

2.5pts ew Demba Ba to be top Premiership goalscorer @ 40/1 Coral (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)

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Tuesday horses

Low key day, selections at Folkestone:

15:50F 1.5pt win Centrifugal @ 4/1 Coral

16:20F 2.5pts win Vestibule @ 2/1 William Hill BOG

Total stake four points.

You may be surprised to learn that a football bet may follow later.....

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Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

I watched the three Arc trials from Longchamp yesterday with interest. Of the three races I thought last year's runner up Shareta was the most convincing winner. She is still priced at 10/1 with Paddy Power to go one better this year.

I am not getting heavily involved as yet because the draw is important. You need a horse drawn in single figures and maybe in the first six depending on the ground.

I am looking forward to going to the Arc for the first time next month and will undoutably have more than one bet in the race. For now it's:-

1.5pts win Shareta to win the Arc @ 10/1 Paddy Power

Saturday review

Only one winner but Secret Look does the business. Great price 9/1 as SP only 9/2 (No R4!). Profit on the day's selections is therefore 4.5pts.

But of course AOB wins only four English classics so the blog wins 53.5pts on that particular market (2pts @ 12/1 and 3pts @ 10/1 less 0.5pt on the full set).

I didn't get to see much racing today but was able to cheer Secret Look home in a betting shop in Abergavenny having also watched Camelot fail to win the Leger minutes before that.

Saturday horses

Chester:

13:40C 3.5pts win Beau Mistral @ 5/1 William Hill BOG

15:55C 1.5pts win Secret Look @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

15:55C 1pt win Time And Place @ 3/1 Paddy Power

Bath:

13:45B 2pts win Beauty Pageant @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

13:45B 1pt win Falasteen @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

Newcastle:

15:10N 1.5pts win Hills Of Dakota @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

10.5pts staked

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Friday review

After a horrible day on Thursday when I didn't even pick up a place, Chester has turned things around.

In the first race the selections went 1-2. I could not understand the riding tactics on the 9/1 shot though, I thought it would be ridden like it was at Chepstow - straight out of the gate and try to make all. Instead the rider took a pull and went round the outside of all the runners to end up being beaten just a neck.

In the second race Going French made all from trap two. The big surprise here was the SP. We took 100/30 BOG with Betfred but will be paid out at 9/2!

Nine points staked on the day, return 28.80 points.

Friday horses

Chester wagers:

17:00C 2pts win 1pt place Portrush Storm @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG
17:00C 1pt win Ferdy @  3/1 William Hill BOG

17:30C 4pts win Going French @ 10/3 Betfred BOG
17:30C 1pt win Catalyse @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

Nine points staked

Thursday horses 4

Final selections for today unless any of my selections are non-runners:

16:25C 0.75pts ew Chicamia @ 22/1 Paddy Power BOG

17:00C 0.5pts ew Olynard @ 11/1 Bet365 BOG

2.5 points staked

Thursday horses 3

15:55C 2.5pts win Kunzea @ 13/2 William Hill BOG

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Thursday horses 2

Chepstow, just missed 16/1 this one:

15:20C 2pts ew Plexolini @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

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Thursday horses

Bets at Doncaster:

13:15D 1pt ew Elle Woods @ 20/1 William Hill BOG
13:15D 1pt win Annecdote @ 7/1 Ladbrokes BOG

16:05D 1.5pt win 1pt place Sohraab @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

0.25pt ew double Elle Woods @ 20/1, Sohraab @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

Chepstow bets to follow

Six points staked

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St Leger

As you know I have backed A O'Brien to win four or five English Classics.

In January I had 2pts @ 12/1 four classics and 0.5pt @ 40/1 five classics:-

http://mikequigley.blogspot.co.uk/2012/01/first-bets-of-new-year.html

You will see from the above link that I remarked at the time VC was offering 50/1 the full set, a price unavailable to me, hence - in part - the reason for having had such a modest bet @ 40/1! 

Hopefully you lucky VC customers availed yourselves of plenty of the 50/1!

On 1May I topped up with 3pts @ 10/1 four classics.

So you can see now that AOB NOT winning the Leger will yield a profit of over 50 points for the blog whereas a Camelot victory will result in just 15pts profit. Clearly we cannot address this imbalance as there is no value in backing Camelot.

One of my horse racing contacts - who in fact persuaded me to have the above bets - is keen on the ew chances of Thomas Chippendale in the race. I have therefore had the following bet with the sponsors:

1.5pts ew Thomas Chippendale to win St Leger WITHOUT Camelot @ 12/1 Ladbrokes

Three points staked

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Wednesday review

Jack Luey breaks his run of third places (six) by finishing second!

Good news for ew backers is that despite three non-runners there was no rule 4 deduction imposed by Bet365. Likewise with W Hill if you took their 18/1 ew this morning. However some firms have deducted a 5p R4.

Consequently we have a return of nine points for our three point investment.

Probably bets from Doncaster and Chepstow tomorrow.

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Wednesday horses

Probably just the one selection today:

17:15D 1.5pts ew Jack Luey @ 20/1 Bet365 BOG

Three points staked

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SPOTY

What a difficult call SPOTY will be this year. Plenty of Olympic gold medalists with valid claims. Now Mugray enters the picture, not only as a gold medal winner but now as a grand slam winner (ending 76-years of hurt etc). Mugray is now second favourite (behind Wiggins) at around 3/1.

I have already lost money on this market - on Queen Victoria - who is now an 800/1 chance on betfair as I write. Clearly winning a gold medal and looking good won't be enough - although success in "Strictly" could help.

Maybe we could be in for an upset this year. How about the bubbly Ellie Simmonds causing that upset? Just a small interest:

1pt win Ellie Simmonds to win SPOTY @ 80/1 Coral (also blue sq/888)

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Mugray

We had no chance of Berdych beating Mugray in the semi. The Czech's high ball toss proved to be a big problem in the near tornado conditions. Despite that he played quite well in winning the first set.

Mugray must now have a decent chance of beating Djoko in the final. The latter leads the H2H 8-6 but I thought Mugray was very impressive at the Olympics when I was fortunate to be there to see him beat Djoko 7-5 7-5 on Wimbledon's grass.

I think the match is tighter than the 3.15 put up by Pinnacle. I have therefore mug punted Mugray as follows:

5pts win Murray to beat Djokovic @ 3.15 Pinnacle Sports

1pt Murray to win 3-1 in sets @ 7/1 Betfred

The match is due to start at 9pm UK time. Disgracefully you cannot watch it on terrestrial TV. However you can watch it for free on Livescorehunter.com on your laptop or desktop PC.

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Monday horses

Selections from Newcastle today:

15:30N 1pt ew Hab Reeh @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

16:00N 1pt ew Gertmegalush @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

16:30N 2.5pts win Burnwynd Boy @ 9/2 Coral (5/1 with Stan James if you are allowed to bet with this firm)

16:30N 6 x 0.30pts combination forecasts above selection with Iceblast and Ryedale  Dancer = 1.8pts staked.

Total invested 8.3 points

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Saturday horses 3

I think Ortensia has drifted to the point where she now warrants a bet:

15:25H 3pts win Ortensia @ 7/2 Betfred BOG

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Saturday horses 2

At Thirsk:

15:30T 2pts win Defence Council @ 13/2 William Hill BOG

15:30T 1.5pts ew Diamond Blue @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

Five points staked

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Saturday horses

Two bets at Haydock today:

14:15H 3pts win Face The Problem @ 11/2 William Hill BOG

16:00H 3pts win Star of Rohm @ 7/1 Betfred BOG

Thirsk bet to follow 

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Friday horses 3

Good results from Haydock with 14/1 chance narrowly beaten and then nice 9/1 winner.

Local ales likely to take their toll this afternoon so just a couple more bets:

16:10H 1.5pts win 1pt place Barkston Ash @ 10/1 with 888.com

17:05C 1pt ew Reginald Claude @ 18/1 Skybet

17:05C 0.5pt ew Pull The Pin @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

Total 5.5 points staked

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Friday horses 2

First afternoon bets:

14:00H 1pt ew Another Wise Kid @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

14:30H 1.5pt win 1pt place Liberty Island @ 9/1 Betfred BOG

4.5 points staked.

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Friday horses

One bet at Kempton in the Nursery:

19:50K 3pts win Bay Laurel @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG

I may have some bets at Chepstow and/or Haydock depending on the ground. It's currently good, good to soft in places at Chepstow but drying out. 

I'm going to the Ludlow food festival today so if I post any further bets it's likely to be during racing this afternoon.

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Murray v Berdych

I can never seem to get Mugray right. I thought he might struggle against Raonic and he won easily. Surely though he is going to have a much tougher match against Berdych in the semi-finals. Murray is 2-4 HTH with Berdych. The latter won their latest encounter albeit on clay. Berdych leads Mugray 2-1 on hard courts.

What about their US Open performances? Berdych played really well in beating world number one Federer as well as players ranked 12 and 28 in the last three rounds. Mugray has beaten players ranked 13, 16 and 31 in these rounds and only played really well in one of these matches in my view.

I think Berdych is the value at just over 15/8 with Pinnacle (2.93). He is 15/8 with Stan James who closed my account yesterday. More of this later. 

I have had: 

8pts win Berdych to beat Murray @ 2.93 with Pinnacle 

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Thursday horses 3

No further bets at Kempton. One additional bet at Salisbury:

17:10S 1pt win Siouxperhero @ 9/1 with 888.com 

Thursday horses 2

Still considering the rest of the Kempton card. Meanwhile additional bet in 19:40:

19:40K 1.5pts ew Tunnager Grove @ 11/2 Stan James

Three points staked

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Thursday horses

Salisbury:

17:20S 3pts win Catchanova @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

Kempton:

19:40K 3pts win Tunnager Grove @ 11/2 William Hill BOG

0.5pt ew double above prices

Further Kempton bets later

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Wednesday so far

Good start to the day with Hoarding obliging at Lingfield (9/2>11/4). Would have been the unluckiest loser of the season if Buick had not found a gap close home to eventually win a comfortable neck. Angelito has just gone in too, survived a stewards but didn't look like ever losing it in the stewards' room. There was a R4 on the race but I have been paid at SP (15/8) because of the WH BOG stipulation. One more runner today at Kempton.

Just waiting now for the Italians to come on court between the showers. 

Wednesday horses 2

Lingfield:

14:00L 2pts win Hoarding @  9/2 William Hill BOG

Kempton:

18:30K 1pt ew Napinda @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

0.5pts ew double above two

Five points staked

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Wednesday horses

Bet at Bath this afternoon, looks a bit weak in the market but have nevertheless have had:

15:50B 4pts Angelito @ 9/4 William Hill BOG 

Ladbrokes initially went 13/8 about this one so it's a bit of a drifter.

Possible bet at Kempton and/or Lingfield tonight, will post later.

Meanwhile Vinci v Errani scheduled for 16:00 UK time. Should be interesting.

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Tuesday bets

First of all an update on Vinci v Errani. Latter was as short as 4/6 when the market opened but has now closed right up. This is helpful in terms of hedging on the younger Italian. In fact Pinnacle Sports and a couple of other firms now make Vinci favourite. I have had a hedging bet with Pinnacle as follows:

12pts win Errani to beat Vinci @ 2.03 with Pinnacle

Obviously you should only have the above bet if you took the 100/1 Vinci to reach the semis recommended on 25 August 2012. Bear in mind the above wager will be void if one set is not completed. You may prefer to hedge with Coral or Ladbrokes who both state one point should be played for the result to stand.

On the horses, one race at Leicester:

16:50L 3pts win Lucky Henry @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

16:50L 0.75pts ew West End Lad @ 25/1 Paddy Power BOG

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You've been sliced!

Well Radwanska has been. Carved up by Vinci in tonight's match.

Vinci now plays her doubles partner Errani - who knocked out Kerber - for a place in the semi-final. You will recall that we have a 100/1 wager on Vinci reaching the semis and this would be a first if it comes off - a 100/1 winner for the blog!:

http://mikequigley.blogspot.co.uk/2012/08/ladies-us-open.html

Not there yet by any stretch of the imagination. Errani will be favourite to beat Vinci as the higher ranked player. She leads the H2H 3-2 although two of those wins were on clay. The question now is whether or not to hedge on Errani. I've not seen any prices yet but I am assuming Errani will be a 4/6 or 4/7 shot. I'll take a look at the markets tomorrow and decide whether or not to play then...

Murray v Raonic

I think it's time to have a little bet opposing Mugray. He looked beat at the end of his last match against Lopez in which he squeezed through in four hours. Mugray has in the past been a terrible match-up for Lopez so it was a surprise to see him run Mugray so close - in fact Lopez won more points.

Raonic boasts a 1-0 H2H over Mugray and the big Canadian seems to be at last fulfilling his potential. I have had the following: 

3pts win Raonic to beat Murray @ 3.83 with Pinnacle sports

(Similar price on betfair)

Fourth consecutive winning day on the horses with Whitstable Native obliging @ 6/1 (SP 5/1).

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Sunday horses

Low key day today, two small bets at Folkestone:

14:00F 1.5pts win Whitstable Native @ 6/1 Stan James

15:30F 1pt win Desert Strike @ 8/1 Skybet

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Saturday horses

Chester: 

16:20C 2.5pts win Jedward @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

17:30C 2.5pts win Gin Twist @ 6/1 Paddy Power BOG

Beverley:

14:40B 2.5pts win Shotley Mac @ 13/2 Coral

14:40B 2pts win Polish World @ 10/1 Betfred BOG

Sandown:

14:15S 2.5pts win Edge Closer @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

16:30S 1pt win Dusky Queen @ 10/3 Paddy Power BOG

Bath:

18:40B 3.5pts win Ring For Baileys @ 5/1 Betfred BOG

Total 16.5 points staked

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