Friday 31 May 2013

Bath

21:00B 2pts win Edged Out @ 7/1 Betfred BOG

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Friday horses

Bet at Goodwood tonight:

19:45G 2.5pts win 1pt place Pearl Blue @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

Bet to follow at Bath. 

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Thursday 30 May 2013

Last horse bet today

First bet was backed from 14/1 to 7/1 in the blink of an eye. Never seen with a chance. One more for today:

15:40H 1.5pts ew Madame Blavatsky @ 12/1 Coral BOG

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Hamilton

A small bet in the third race:

15:10H 1pt ew Bridge Valley @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

May play again after this race.

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Thursday

No strong views at Nottingham yesterday. Might play at Hamilton but will watch the first race before deciding whether to bet. Meanwhile having a mug punter bet on a big upset in one of the 10am matches. Taking on the unreliable Sam:

1pt win Mladenovic to beat Stosur @ 9/2 Bet365

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Wednesday 29 May 2013

Wednesday horses

First play:

18:55K 2pts win Tenbridge @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG
18:55K 2pts win Jay Bee Blue @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

Nottingham later.

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Tuesday 28 May 2013

Tuesday horses 2

14:00Le 1pt ew Shawkantango @ 16/1 Bet365 BOG

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Tuesday horses

One horse at Lingfield tonight and a small play at Leicester this afternoon to follow:

18:20Li 4pts win Night Trade @ 7/2 Paddy Power BOG

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Monday 27 May 2013

Tennis update

Well two ill-advised tennis match bets - both selections going down comfortably in straight sets.

NI La looked good and remains 14/1 to win the title which looks reasonable value as she is in the opposite half of the draw to Serena. Li would not meet Pova until the semi-final. I backed the Chinese in January at today's price! 7/1 to reach the final looks value.

Interesting match coming up after the Tsonga match. Laura Robson versus Caroline Wozniacki. I couldn't believe it when the bookmakers opened with Laura around 4/6 favourite to beat the former number one. The market has now moved the other way however and Woza is 4/5 favourite to beat the British number one as the match approaches. I won't be betting on the match but it should be an intriguing affair.

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Monday bets

Despite the choice of horse racing fixtures today I don't plan to have a horse bet. I am though having a couple of small wagers on tennis matches taking place this morning. 

The first is against my long-term pick for the ladies' title Li Na. She has not played well recently with defeats to Madison Keys and Jankovic. What's more today's opponent is not a great match-up. Medina Garrigues holds a 3-1 HTH over the Chinese and that single loss was a retirement. The Spanish player had a seesaw match with SW in Madrid recently taking the middle set 6-0! 

I have had:

3pts M-Garrigues to beat Li Na @ 9/2 Paddy Power

The other match where I am opposing an even hotter favourite is as follows:

1pt Peer to beat A Radwanska @ 8/1 Paddy Power

Peer is 3-4 HTH but has won both encounters on clay. 

Both matches are scheduled for a 10am start. One will be shown on ITV, the other on ITV4.

Four points staked.

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Saturday 25 May 2013

Men's third quarter and wrap

One horse winner only today - 12/1 r4 5p - not enough to recoup the stakes laid out, in fact producing a loss of 6.4 points. With regard to the tennis, just a small bet as follows:

2pts win T Berdych to win third quarter men's singles @ 4/1 Coral

Berdych has a potentially tricky first round against Mon Fils but he has been playing really well this season and looks the danger to DF winning this quarter. Should be some good viewing over the next fortnight.

Haydock 15:15

Having watched the first race at Haydock I am adding a second bet:

15:15H 1pt ew Pure Excellence @ 28/1 Bet365 BOG

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Men's French Open - quarter betting

According to the latest betting there is a solid chance of Fed v Ferrer semi. Fed is 4/9 to reach the last four whereas DF is around evens. One outsider who could go well in Fed's quarter is Juan Monaco. He has bounced back from a first-round defeat (against Paire) in Rome to win the final of a modest tournament in Dusseldorf today. I have had a small play as follows:

0.75pts Juan Monaco to win fourth quarter @ 22/1 Paddy Power

0.5pts ew Juan Monaco to win men's singles @ 300/1 Betfred (1/3 odds 1,2)

It's a good idea to have the latter bet with Fred because if Monaco wins the tourney without dropping a set you'll be paid at 900/1! Far more likely to be dispatched in the first round of course.

Total 1.75pts. Some thoughts on the third quarter later today.

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Christy Moore concert

Saw Christy Moore at Hay Festival yesterday for the second time. He reminded the audience that it was Bob Dylan's 72nd birthday before singing, "I Pity The Poor Immigrant".

More pictures on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.10151931200868206.1073741825.757298205&type=3&uploaded=7

Declan Sinnott with Christy Moore



Saturday horses

Non-runner yesterday. Today's selections:

14:10H 2pts win Conor Zur @ 7/1 Skybet

15:10Ch 3pts win Yair Hill @ 5/1 William Hill BOG
15:10Ch 2pts win Gate Post @ 5/2 Coral BOG

15:15H 3pts win 1pt place Code Of Honor @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

16:20H 1.5pts win Chester Aristocrat @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG
16:20H 2.5pts win Polar Venture @ 7/2 Paddy Power BOG

16:40G 2pts in Aye Aye Digby @ 6/1 Coral BOG
16:40G 1.5pts win Mata Hari Blue @ 6/1 Betfred BOG

0.75pt  reverse forecast above two (1.5pt staked WHill)

16:55H 2.5pts win Oneladyowner @ 8/1 Coral BOG
16:55H 1.5pts win Springinmystep @12/1 Coral BOG

Total 23 points. 

In the tennis Nadal v Djoko is the projected semi and as predicted the 1/2 odds ew betting has disappeared. Federer and Ferrer have been cut for the title. More on the tennis later.

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Friday 24 May 2013

Friday horses

Don't fancy much today.

17:30G 2pts win Buy Art @ 9/2 William Hill BOG

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Thursday 23 May 2013

Friday bets

Off to Hay Festival tomorrow. When I was there last year there didn't seem to be much wi-fi about so it may be a bit difficult for me to place bets and, of course, write my thoughts on the blog. I may have a couple of small bets at Haydock and Goodwood first thing in the morning before I set off. They will be small though, following the lack of success at these two gaffs today.

The French Open draws will be announced mid-morning which is horribly inconvenient as I won't be able to scramble about for the best prices. However one cannot be a slave to this game and a serious injection of culture can only be a good thing. Looking forward to various events including music from Rokia Traore and then Christy Moore who I saw a few years ago at the Hay gig.

Meanwhile I have just had another small bet in the ladies' French Open tournament on a player who has played ok here in the past and what's more has shown a return to form in recent weeks.

0.75pts ew Jelena Jankovic to win French Open ladies' singles @ 100/1 William Hill (1/2 odds 1,2). 

Total 1.5pts staked.

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Thursday horses

No good at Kempton yesterday. Today's races:

18:40S 2.5pts win My Own Way Home @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

16:05H 1pt win Discression @ 14/1 Coral BOG

16:55G 1pt ew Ryan Style @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
16:55G 1.5pts win Sister Guru @ 11/2 William Hill BOG

Total seven points.

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Wednesday 22 May 2013

French Open Tennis - Men 2

VC have cut Ferrer from 33s to 25s. Boylesports have lengthened Ferrer from 28/1 to 33/1. There is a catch with the latter however as they have reduced their place terms to 1/3. So it's now 11/1 instead of 14/1 with Boyles for the place part of the recommended bet. Best ew price for Ferrer right now is with nosporting bet - 40/1 (1/3 1,2).

Thinking about the projected semi-final draw again it can be one of two options:

Djoko 1 v Nadal 3 and Ferrer 4 v Federer 2  or

Djoko 1 v Ferrer 4 and Nadal 3 v Federer 2  No other combinations.

Nadal and Djoko represent over 90% of the win market - 4/6 and 2/1. There is a 50% chance that they could end up in the same half after the seedings and draws are announced on Friday. If this happens you can forecast a radical change to the market and all the 1/2 odds ew betting would possibly disappear.

There are very few negatives about the top two players - Rafa has not played five sets since his return from injury. Djoko has a niggling ankle injury which could take some punishment over five sets for two weeks. In any event I have had a small top up on Federer hoping for the dream Djoko v Nadal projection on Friday!!

1pt ew R Federer to win French Open @ 16/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2) 

Wednesday horses

Just one race at Kempton today:

20:30K 3pts win Bang Tidy @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
20:30K 2pts win Wise Venture @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

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French Open tennis - Men

With Andy Murray's withdrawal there is an each-way bet to be had. We have been told by the French authorities that the seedings will follow the world rankings and that Rafa will receive no special treatment. Hence the top four seeds should now be announced as: 1 Djoko, 2 Federer, 3 Rafa, 4 Ferrer. Consequently, at this stage, (and with no further top four withdrawals) the only player guaranteed not to meet Rafa before the final is Ferrer. Given that Rafa is generally a 4/6 chance, being able to back a player ew at a decent price (who is guaranteed to be in the other half of the draw) is an opportunity not to be missed. 

The downside of backing Ferrer is his poor record against the top players. Obviously if the above players reach their seeded positions in the draw, Ferrer will either play Djoko (5-10 HTH deficit but 3-1 ahead on clay) or Federer (disastrous 0-14 HTH) in the semi-final. We already have a small ew bet on Federer at 14/1 (now bigger) placed in February so that would get us our money back if they were to meet in the last four and Federer won for the fifteenth time.

have had:

4pts ew David Ferrer to win French Open @ 28/1 Boylesports (1/2 odds 1,2)

If you can get on with non-layer Victor then do so as he is offering 33/1 Ferrer. Do not bet with nosportingbet at their 40/1, however, as they only offer 1/3 odds 1,2. So the odds to reach the final are better with both Boyles and Victor.

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Tuesday 21 May 2013

Tuesday horses 2

Nottingham bets:

14:50No 2pts win 1pt place Megamunch @ 14/1 Coral BOG

17:50No 1.5pts ew Royal Bajan @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

Total six points.

Newcastle bets, if any, will be posted after the first or possibly the second race has been run there.

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Tuesday horses

Possible plays at Nottingham and Newcastle later. Latter looks particularly difficult with very soft ground. First play is at Pontefract however:

18:20P 3pts win Thrust Control @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
18:20P 1pt ew  Sardanapalus @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

Five points staked.

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Monday 20 May 2013

Update

Federer played really poorly against Rafa yesterday and after two games it was clear he was not going to have a chance. Both favourites for the French Open (Rafa and SW) look really strong and it will not be worth having any further bets until the draws are known. Even then it may not be worth playing.

Tough couple of days with the horses - Hi There getting beaten narrowly yesterday was disappointing. Got a nice run up the rail but was too off the pace early on. However flat season still going well with 132 points profit to date:

http://www.mikequigley.co.uk/Flat-Season-2013.php

Overall we are 227 points ahead for the year to date, hopefully to be boosted with a further 48 points if and when the Special One returns to Stamford Bridge (currently 1/9 best price):

http://www.mikequigley.co.uk/Blog-bets-2013.php

No horse racing bets today.

Sunday 19 May 2013

Further Ripon bets

16:40R 1.5pts win Blue Shoes @ 5/1 William Hill BOG

Additional bet in 15:40:

15:40R 1pt win Hi There @ 4/1 Betfred BOG 

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Saturday 18 May 2013

Racing tomorrow at Ripon

15:40R 2pts win High There @ 4/1Paddy Power BOG
15:40R 1.5pts ew Osteopathic Remedy @ 8/1 Bet365 BOG

Five points staked.

Federer plays the King Of Clay at 3pm UK time tomorrow. We have a chance - although Fed can be backed at 7/2 and I was expecting him to be a little shorter than that. Still it should be an enjoyable view and we have a decent bet to nothing. 

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Saturday horses 3

Further bet Doncaster:

20:35D 1pt ew Dark Castle 16/1 Coral BOG

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Saturday horses 2

At Thirsk

14:50T 1.5 pts win Master Bond @ 17/2 Skybet
14:50T 2pts win Oldjoesaid @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

15:25T 1.5pts win Klynch @ 9/2 William Hill BOG
15:25T 0.5pts ew Baby Strange @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

16:00T 2pts win Pearl Blue @ 5/1 Betfred BOG

Total eight points.

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Saturday horses

Doncaster first:

19:30D 3pts win African Oil @ 3/1 William Hill BOG

20:35D 2pts win 1pt place Sulls Minerva @ 16/1 Paddy Power BOG
20:35D 1pt ew Ambitious Boy @ 40/1 William Hill BOG

Seven points staked.

Thirsk to follow.

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Paire hedge

The best price for Paire is with betfair at 7.4 as I write, which is 6/1 after 5% commission. There is a risk in backing him with betfair in that if there is a retirement in the first set the market is void. So you may prefer to take 5/1 with Lads or Coral which will both settle if a point has been played. In any event this bet should only be made if you have had the advised ew stake on Federer:

3pts win Paire to beat Federer @ 7.4 Betfair  (6/1 after commission)

So total stakes on Rome ATP will be 17. If Paire wins today then the overall profit will be four. If Federer wins the match it will be a modest profit of 2.5pts but we will have a free hit on the final which would produce 36pts profit should Federer beat Nadal (or Berdych). He won't be much more than 2/1 if as expected he plays Nadal on Sunday.

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Friday wrap

Just now catching up with Friday's results. There was a fair start at Hamilton with (second choice) Coral Sands winning again, this time at a generous 7/1 (BOG). No gain on the rest of the card though with just Bronze Beau making the frame at 14/1 (BOG). All this means just a marginal profit of 0.75pts on the day's horses!

In Rome we just have Federer in the semis - 3pts ew 11/1. However we have laid out 14pts on the ew Rome strategy and there is a chance of coming away with nothing because Paire has ripped through the other bottom-half quarter, taking out my fancies Monaco and Del Potro. The (place) return for Fed is potentially 19.5pts for a modest 5.5pts profit on the tournament but with a further potential return of 36pts should he win the tournament. I am going to have to reinvest a chunk of that 5.5pts on Paire beating Fed and will look for the best strategy in the morning.

With regard to the horses, a couple of races at Thirsk and Doncaster will also need attention tomorrow.

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Friday 17 May 2013

Friday horses 2

First selection all the rage now, only 6/1 available. Let's hope there are no further non-runners. Saver bet is:

18:50H 1pt win Coral Sands @ 11/2 Bet365 BOG

Not around much today so further Hamilton bets as follows:

20:00H 2pts win Repetition @ 15/2 William Hill BOG

20:35H 2pts win Here Now And Why @ 8/1 Bet365 BOG
20:35H 0.5pts ew Ambitious Icarus @ 28/1 William Hill BOG

21:05H 1.5pt ew Bronze Beau @ 12/1 Betfred BOG
21:05 0.5pts ew Boucher Garçon @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

Ten points staked.

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Friday horses

Only Hamilton of interest today. First bet is in the mile handicap in which we had the 25/1 winner at the last meeting. That winner, Coral Sands, runs again and will probably merit a saver. The main selection however is:

18:50H 2pts ew High Resolution @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG

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Thursday 16 May 2013

Thursday horses 2

Further small bet in the Salisbury race:

16:15S 0.75pts ew Kamchatka @ 22/1 Betfred BOG

Thursday horses

16:15S 2pts win Extrasolar @ 7/1 Paddy Power BOG

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Wednesday 15 May 2013

Rome ATP 2

My initial strategy is not working out too well with three of my rags beaten in the first round. I am convinced there is still an ew angle here so having seen the well-being of the following players in their opening matches I have stepped in again:

3pts ew Roger Federer to win ATP Rome @ 11/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)

1pt ew JM Del Potro to win ATP Rome @ 14/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)

Eight points staked. Play starts in the men's matches in about 40 minutes time.

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Wednesday horses

All at sea the last two days, very disappointed in particular with the Doncaster selections on Monday, should have done a lot better there. Not much today but will be looking to Cathy Gannon to steady the ship on this one making its handicap debut:

20:10Ba 3pts win Harbour Captain @ 100/30 Paddy Power BOG

Elsewhere no recent news on Mourhino taking over again at Chelsea. You probably know that you can lay him at around 1/5 (just laid him for a few quid at 1.21) on betfair. This is not a specific recommendation but if you have the 16/1 about him going back to Stamford Bridge you might like to at least save your stake. 

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Tuesday 14 May 2013

Tuesday horses 2

17:40B 0.75pts ew Red Roar @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

19:05Ch 2pts win 1pt place Copper Leyf @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

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Tuesday horses

First bet at Beverley:

15:15B 1.5pts win 1pt place Big Wave @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG

2.5pts staked more to follow.

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Monday 13 May 2013

Monday horses 3

First bet annoyingly fourth. Not keen on much else today. Couple of small wagers Doncaster:

15:15D 0.5pts ew Black Dave @ 50/1 Bet365 BOG
15:15D 0.5pts ew Aminah @ 33/1 Coral BOG (40/1 VC)

16:25D 1.25pts ew Able Master @ 12/1 William Hill BOG (14/1 VC)

Total 4.5pts

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Monday horses 2

Some support for the first selection. No further bets until around 14:30 today.

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Monday horses

First play is at Wolverhampton:

13:50W 1.5pt win 1pt place Russian Bullet @ 7/1 Bet365 BOG

Doncaster to follow.

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Sunday 12 May 2013

Rome ATP

A very interesting draw for the Rome ATP which is just getting underway. Incredibly Nadal and Djoko are in the same half of the draw. Thus a huge percentage of the market is taken up by these two top players and with most bookmakers offering 1/2 odds to reach the final there are some interesting ew prospects in the other half of the draw. Of course this contains Mugray and the Fed. The former went down tamely to Berdych in Madrid having only just got past Simon - a player he had beaten on the previous ten consecutive occasions - in a final set tie break. As for Fed he looked very rusty in his defeat by Nishikori. I have therefore had a number of ew small bets as follows:

1pt ew Del Potro @ 18/1 Skybet (1/3 odds 1,2)
0.5pt ew Monaco @ 200/1 Boylesport (1/2 odds 1,2)
0.25pt ew Nishikori @ 100/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)
0.75pt ew Dimitrov @ 66/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)
0.25pt ew Janovicz @ 250/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2)
0.25pt ew Haas @ 100/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)

Remember that better prices could be available with bookmakers who refuse to take my bets (eg Victor). These bets are reliant on Mugray and Fed not performing well, however these courts are much slower than Madrid and that will be against them. A portfolio of six players should give me an interest for a day or two.....

Total six points. 


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Saturday 11 May 2013

Saturday wrap

Kept on the right side today with the Head Turner obliging on Noble Gift at 10/1 (SP only 5/1).

Hopefully, if you played the ew selections in the Victoria Cup, you took my advice and bet with a bookmaker who offered the first five places. If you didn't you will not have a return as Dream Tune, having run all over the track, finally ended up in fifth place to reward (some) each-way backers.

Today was a good illustration of the need to obtain the best prices and concessions available. Without that fifth place it would have been a losing day. As it was a small profit on the day was achieved.

No bets tomorrow so the next action likely to be on Monday.

Final bets for today

17:35N 1.5pts ew Mataajin @ 16/1 Paddy Power BOG
17:35N 1pt ew One Of Twins @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG

Total above five points.

Finally a miracle forecast bet to small stakes in the Victoria Cup:

15:50A 6 x 0.25pt combination forecast Solar Diety, Dream Tune, Elusive Flame, Fast Finian total 1.5 pts staked with William Hill.


Saturday horses 5

First of the two remaining Nottingham races:

17:05N 1.5pts ew Noble Gift @ 10/1 Coral BOG

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Saturday Horses 4

The Thirsk race is as follows:

18:15T 1.5pts win Mon Brav @ 7/1 888.com 
18:15T 1pt win Spykes Bay @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

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Saturday horses 3

One more bet for the time being, a couple more races at Nottingham being considered and possibly one at Thirsk. More later:

14:45N 2pts win Captain Scooby @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

A total of 12.5 points staked on the day so far.

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Saturday horses 2

17:15H 4pts win Zamoyski @ 2/1 Paddy Power BOG

And one in the last at Ascot that Rocket Rob might be backing perhaps?

16:25A 1.5pts win School Fees @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

Incidentally the winning most brewery at the beer festival is Celt Experience. Unbelievable stuff from Wales, never heard of them before...

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Saturday horses

A busy day yesterday with 22.5 points staked across five meetings. Thanks to Yeeoow winning at 8/1 at Ascot plus a placed horse I came out with a profit of around five points. Could have been much better though as we had two narrow runner-ups at 10/1 and 5/1. There was a big distraction in the evening with the start of the Ludlow Spring (beer) Festival when I was forced to choose from the 180 beers on offer! 

As for today I am going to invest yesterday's winnings in the Victoria Cup as follows:

15:50A 1.5pts ew Dream Tune @ 14/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5) BOG
15:50A 1pt ew Solar Diety @ 22/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5) BOG

Make sure you bet on this race with one of the firms that offers fist five.

Five points staked 

More to follow

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Friday 10 May 2013

Friday horses 6

18:15N 1.5pts ew Ascription @ 10/1 Coral BOG

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Friday horses 5

18:05H 2pts win Lord Buffhead @ 13/2 Skybet

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Friday horses 4

First bets for this evening's meeting:

19:05A 2.5pts win Yeeoow @ 7/1 Betfred BOG

19:15H 1pt ew Last Supper @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG

20:55H 3pts win Economic Crisis @ 9/2 William Hill BOG

Not done yet.


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Friday horses 3

Missed the gamble on this one but it may drift out at post time so BOG essential. 

16:15L 4pts win Titus Gent @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

That's the only other race this afternoon. Other bets will be at this evening's meetings.

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Friday horses 2

A lot of meetings today and as a result there will be quite a big outlay. The second bet is also in the Chester sprint. BTW If you missed 5/1 Storm Moon with Fred it's that price with PP as I write:

15:15Ch 1pt ew Equitana @ 12/1 Boylesports BOG

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Friday horses

The first bet I have had today is:

15:15Ch 4pts win Storm Moon @ 5/1 Betfred BOG 

More to follow

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Thursday 9 May 2013

Thursday wrap

After a poor day yesterday back with a bang today (to relatively modest stakes unfortunately!). Two races: two winners. Aye Aye Digby obliges at 13/2 (SP 6/1) and then shortly afterwards Effie B wins at 20/1 (a Rule4 deduction means our price was reduced to 16/1). SP just 12/1. Profit on the day 39.5 points.

Thursday horse 2

This one has been off the track for an age so with no great confidence I have had:

16:05G 2pts win Aye Aye Digby @ 13/2 Coral BOG

It's 7/1 with Boylesport and nosportingbet but that price is without the BOG insurance. 

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Thursday horses

16:25C 1.5pts win 1pt place Effie B @ 20/1 Paddy Power BOG
16:25C 1.5pts win Your Pal Tal @ 8/1 Betfred BOG

Four points staked.

Race at Goodwood to follow

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Wednesday 8 May 2013

Wednesday horses 2

No luck in the Chester race, main selection more or less left in the stalls.

Kempton not looking attractive so I have been looking at the Newcastle card. Have had a couple of small ew bets in the 18:00 race. Favourite looks very short. Whether I have any bets after this race I'll decide after the result:

18:00N 1.5pts ew Lady Sledmere @ 22/1 Coral BOG
18:00N 1.5pts ew Hab Reeh @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

Six points staked.

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Wednesday horses 2

Further bet at Chester in the 15:15:

15:15C 1pt ew Ubetterbegood @ 14/1 Betfred BOG

With regard to the tennis, VC has also put up 33/1 Dimitrov for Madrid this morning but significantly go 1/2 odds to reach the final, so have your outright Madrid bets there if the prices are comparable and of course you have an open account.

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ATP Madrid Open

I watched an extraordinary match tonight: Dimitrov beating Djokovic in three sets. The young Bulgarian played some incredible stuff to beat the world number one. The match lasted over three hours with the underdog cramping badly at the end of the second set. He recovered to take the third set in what was an incident packed match. 

I have had an each-way interest on Dimitrov for the title. The problem is he may struggle to recover from tonight's exertions. However if he does then the way he is playing at the moment he has a shot at making the final. He is in the opposite half of the draw to both the odds-on favourite Nadal and Federer (who is second best in the market now). Dimitrov will probably play Fat Stan next and then Tsonga if the seedings work out. His potential semi-final opponent is Murray, who although winning in straight sets, did not impress me today. So a speculative wager as follows:

1.5pts ew G Dimitrov to win ATP Madrid Open @ 33/1 Boylesports (1/3 odds 1,2) 

Three points invested.

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Tuesday 7 May 2013

Wednesday horses

Franny Norton knows his way around Chester. Hopefully he can steer this one ok:

15:15C 5pts win Last Sovereign @ 11/2 William Hill BOG

With any luck the forecast overnight rain will not change the ground conditions too much.

More action tomorrow.

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Tuesday wrap

Only a couple of points down on the day despite a large outlay and no winners. Places at 22/1 and 20/1 (BOG) rewarded the ew bets. The best chance of a winner was Blue Noodles which went down by a short-head to the Head Turner. SP was an incredible 11/2 so somewhat unfortunate result. But I guess when one is backing mainly in sprint handicaps the margins are going to be small a lot of the time.

Chester tomorrow!

But before that we have an interest in tonight's football because should Wigan beat Swansea our sole relegation wager (3pts Newcastle @ 11/1 placed in December) would look more promising as Newcastle would slip into the bottom three...

You go girl!

Laura takes out world no4 with some ease at the Madrid Open yesterday. Obviously getting ready to land our 200/1 Wimbledon poke! (Now best price 80/1).

She is 200/1 to win the Madrid Open and 250/1 to win the French Open. If, like me, you like long shots and you can find a friendly bookmaker to lay you a few pence ew then I wouldn't discourage you......



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Tuesday horses 4

17:10K 1pt ew Claude Greenwood @ 22/1 William Hill BOG

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Tuesday horses 3

Further bets:

15:10K 2pts win Dhhamaan @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
15:10K 1pt ew Farmers Dream @ 25/1 Coral BOG

15:40K 3pts win Blue Noodles @ 7/2 William Hill BOG
15:40K 1.5pts win Custom House @ 7/1 Skybet


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Tuesday horses 2

17:10K 3pts win Yahilwa @ 3/1 Paddy Power BOG

More to follow

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Monday 6 May 2013

Tuesday horses

Unfortunately have dropped 11.5 points today which has rather diminished the 70 point Saturday/Sunday horse racing profits.

Will be having a go at Kempton tomorrow - possibly four races. Starting off with this wager and hoping there are no non-runners as the field has eight runners:

16:40K 2pts ew Kellys Eye @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG


Monday horses 3

Bit of a mixed bag:

17:00Be 2pts win 1pt place Art Mistress @ 9/1 William Hill BOG (VC 10/1)
17:00Be 1pt win 0.5pt place Jordonstown @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

17:30Be 2pts win 1pt place Morocco @ 10/1 William Hill BOG (11/1 VC)
17:30Be 1.5pts win Majestic Dream @ 6/1 Spreadex fixed odds 

17:45Ba 0.75ew Chester'slittlegem @ 28/1 888.com 
17:45Ba 0.75ew Nafa @16/1 Coral BOG

Total stakes above 12pts

Monday horses 2

14:55Be 0.75pts ew Perfect Words @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

Further bets after 15:00 today.

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Monday horses

One bet at Kempton:

17:20K 4pts win Climaxfortackle @ 10/3 William Hill BOG

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Flying!

Weekend winners at 25/1, 7/1 and 2/1 for 70pts horse racing profit in two days. Why do I bother with football - or even worse snooker? Should be focusing solely on the flat tracks. Will be looking at Bath, Beveley and Kempton today. So far, I don't like anything!


Sunday 5 May 2013

Hamilton last race

Well that was useful - Coral Sands obliging for us at 25/1!

Should call it a day but just a small interest in the last:

17:45H 1pt ew Here Now And Why @ 15/2 William Hill BOG

I like the name. be lucky!

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14:15 Hamilton

14:15H 2pts win Flipping @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

Might have a bet in the last here but not before around 17:00

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Hamilton

Any further bets today will be posted around 13:50 before I trap to tennis courts.

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Sunday horses

First bet today is from Hamilton:

17:10H 1.5pts ew Coral Sands @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG (also SJ)

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Saturday 4 May 2013

Championship play-offs

No luck with the lower league play-offs with just one draw from the four matches. 

A good day though despite the Trump exit in the snooker. Winners at 7/1 and 2/1 at Thirsk and Goodwood respectively. So 26pts profit on the horses today is a welcome return, as I have one more crack at the stalemates in the play-offs as follows:

9 May 3pts Leicester v Watford draw @ 5/2 Skybet 

10 May 3pts Crystal Palace v Brighton @ 12/5 Skybet

2pt double above @ 10.9/1 Skybet

Eight points staked

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Goodwood - additional wager

Have decided to have a bet in the third race at Goodwood:

14:55G 2pts win 1pt place Bravo Echo @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

Three points staked

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Saturday horses 3

20:20D 3pts win Extrasolar @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG

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Saturday horses 2

Short one to start with, at the minimum price:

15:30G 5pts win Duke Of Firenze @ 2/1 Coral (BOG) (9/4 SJ)

And at Doncaster and Thirsk:

17:45T 3pts win Bedloe's Island @ 7/1 William Hill (BOG)

18:45D 3pts win New Leyf @ 12/1 William Hill (BOG)

1pt ew double above two selections at WH prices

Probably one more race to follow. Stakes 13 points.

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Friday 3 May 2013

Saturday racing

I will be concentrating on Thirsk, Goodwood and Doncaster tomorrow. However there is also the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket which I know nothing about. Other than the fact I was at the Curragh when Dawn Approach won its first race. A friend who was with me that day fancies an outsider here so I am happy to go along with that recommendation. It's Hannon's second string which is as low as 14/1 in places:

15:50N 1.5pts ew Van Der Neer @ 22/1 Skybet (1/4 odds 1,2,3)

(slightly higher price in betfair's win market at the time of writing.)

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Friday bets

Going to swerve the horses today and have a mug punter bet on the snooker. Ronnie, allegedly, doesn't want to be there and Trump is playing well winning the last three frames yesterday. I doubt whether the Rocket will enjoy today's 10:00am start so this morning's session could give Trump the opportunity to edge ahead. 

6pts win Trump to beat O'Sullivan @ 6/4 Paddy Power

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Thursday 2 May 2013

Chepstow 2

19:10C 0.75pts ew Loyal N Trusted @ 14/1 William Hill BOG (16/1 VC)

19:40C 1pt ew Hawaiian Freeze @ 33/1 Coral BOG 

3.5pts staked.

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Further bets

Had a brief further look at the Chepstow card without coming to any firm conclusions. It's too hot to think about it just now, I will come back around six if I am going to have any more horse racing bets. Meanwhile a top up, looking for the all-square in both this evening's play-off matches, as follows:

1pt win double draw at Bradford and draw at Northampton @ 5/2 & 12/5 Bet365

Here's hoping for two non-events tonight!

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Chepstow

Thought about having a trade overnight but the prices are ok this morning. Possibly more from Chepstow lunch-time as off to play tennis in the sunshine now:

20:10C 1.5pts ew Night Trade @ 22/1 William Hill BOG

Three points staked.

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Wednesday 1 May 2013

Jose

Mourinho is apparently closing in on the Chelsea job which would earn us a nice 16/1 winner if it comes off (bet placed with VC Feb 2011). If it doesn't come off where will he go? As an attempted hedge I have had a small bet with Coral:

Mourinho's next club to be PSG 2pts @ 11/2 Coral

Bet is really only of any value if you have had the 16/1 Chelsea, which is currently as low as a 1/8 chance.

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Ludlow restaurants

There are 52 Ludlow restaurants listed on Trip Advisor. The number one is my number one: The Green Cafe.

But which others would I recommend?

Here are my top ten: http://mikequigley.co.uk/Ludlow-restaurants.php

One of my top ten restaurants in Ludlow
                                         

Pontefract

15:20P 2pts win Dialogue @ 13/2 Paddy Power BOG
15:20P 1pt win Alluring Star @ 11/4 William Hill BOG

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Wednesday horses

Kempton and Pontefract of interest today. Kempton first:

20:35K 2.5pts win 1pt place Green Special @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
20:35K 1pt ew Miss Mocca @ 20/1 Betfred BOG

21:05K 2.5pts win Littlecote Lady @ 15/2 William Hill BOG

Eight points staked, Pontefract to follow.

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